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That nobody thought of win-win solutions to existential danger before could also be a testament to zero-sum bias. A technique to overcome the Altruist's burden drawback is to stop being an altruist, to re-body your impulses to help distant others as a bias somewhat than a desire. A more exciting (and to my mind extra preferable) means to beat the issue is to shortly develop into so rich that you would be able to flip charity into business by single-handedly altering the faces of high-affect industries. Long-term, low-curiosity credit score for such actions shall be issued in the brand new RIC frequent currency, in much the identical means that the renminbi is already being used by the BRI as we speak, solely on a a lot broader scale. I haven't got a good idea of what issues are widespread knowledge right here, versus what things I picked up in various less publicized fora. Not simply because it talked about a memetically harmful idea, but as a result of it did a really unhealthy job of explaining and discussing the thought. Precommitment to provide an incentive is one thing - however you can't count on a "mathematical demonstration" of the idea that making threats is likely to have internet-optimistic results.

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One might also assume that CEV would give existential risk reducers apositive relatively than unfavourable incentive to scale back existential dangers. I think you need to delete it from LW instantly. It has already been estimated that the spread of COVID will lead to circumstances of starvation for 200 million people. It is a concrete instance of how falling for the simply world fallacy may backfire on a person with respect to existential risk, particularly in opposition to individuals who had been implicitly or explicitly anticipating some reward for his or her efforts sooner or later. You can't contribute 0.00002% of the hassle to colonize area or mitigate existential dangers and reap 0.00001% of the reward: you get 0 or even damaging reward in case your contribution is under some threshold. The principle situation is that X's prediction does not seek advice from A specifically, however moderately to the area of all attainable friendly AIs, which is huge, and A solely influences a tiny fraction of it. This is not the kind of organisation it's best to belief to be objective on such a problem - they have obvious vested pursuits.

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